wargames have generally shown China defeating the United States. It literally could become the worst catastrophe in the history of warfare.” Instead, the conflict probably would expand horizontally to other regions and vertically, perhaps even to include nuclear weapons threats-or their actual use. According to the Brookings Institution’s Michael O’Hanlon: “Neither Beijing nor Washington would accept defeat in a limited engagement. World War III could be precipitated by a shoot-out over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands or the Scarborough Shoal/Huangyan Island.Ī war involving the U.S. That gave birth to World War I, which witnessed 20 million deaths and 21 million wounded. Something similar happened before with Austrian Archduke Ferdinand’s assassination by Serb nationalist Gavrilo Princip on June 28, 1914. Only a spark is necessary to ignite a conflagration that could lead to nuclear exchanges and threaten the species with nuclear winter and extinction. arming Taiwan to the teeth, repeatedly threatening war, organizing the Quad, strangling the Chinese economy, and treating the South China Sea as if it were the Gulf of Mexico? Why would the Chinese accept national security risks that the United States has shown it will not? Why does anyone think China would react less strongly than the United States did in the Cuban Missile Crisis to the U.S. Today, the United States is a vastly greater existential threat to China than the Soviet Union’s presence in Cuba was to the United States in 1962. The USSR blinked and removed the nuclear weapons in exchange for a sotto voce agreement by the United States to remove Jupiter missiles from Turkey. Cuba had requested the missiles to deter a planned second United States invasion on the heels of the Bay of Pigs debacle. During the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, we were willing to initiate war if necessary to compel the Soviet Union to remove tactical nuclear weapons from Cuba, including a blockade. Taiwan is the same distance from the Chinese mainland as Cuba is to the United States. Secretary of State John Foster Dulles refused to shake the hand of Chinese Premier Zhou Enlai during the Geneva Conference to settle the future of Vietnam and gratuitously sneered that the two would only meet in a car crash. The United States betrayed China during the post-World War I Paris Peace talks by surrendering Shandong Province to Japan. The United States followed with the Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882 and a prohibition on the naturalization of Chinese immigrants. Nearly two centuries of humiliation of China by the West, beginning at least with the Opium War of 1842 to make Chinese drug addiction a western profit center. Black Financial Health Open dropdown menu.
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